Weekend Outlook

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180
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by 180 »

Mister Moose wrote:Haven't there been some years where they turned the guns on and opened in under 24 hours?
MANY!
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tyrolean_skier
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by tyrolean_skier »

I just hope that opening day is not Tuesday since I have to work that day as an inspector at my local voting place.
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newpylong1
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by newpylong1 »

24 hours in an ideal wet bulb. At 27 degrees it's not going to happen in 1 day...
rogman
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by rogman »

Stormchaser wrote:
rogman wrote:
hillbangin wrote:Not good......Freezing Saturday night maybe.

Peak Forecast

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... 9999999997" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
That link takes me to the forecast for the Rutland Airport. Might as well be Miami. Temps will plunge colder Friday afternoon/evening at the peak. Guns go on. They may get open Sunday, or if the temps and humidity are favorable, late Saturday. Stay optimistic!
Actually, it gives you the current conditions for the airport, but the forecast at K for 3400'. Sip the rest of your coffee and look again...
I stand by what I said. That forecast is literally hot garbage.

I expect heavy r*ins midweek, followed by high winds and plunging temps on Friday. Sometime late Friday the guns will go on both Superstar and Rime. Production won't be great initially, but if nothing else will help to cool off the ground. They want to blow wet base building snow anyway. It wouldn't take long to get open (12 to 18 hours) if they had great conditions, but they won't, it'll likely be marginal with both temperature and humidity. Still a good shot at a Sunday opening, trending more towards Monday. I readily concede the forecast is iffy; slight temperature change one way or another makes a difference between too warm to blow and great production. Just keep hoping for the best! We all know they'll pull the trigger if they can.
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Seacoaster
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by Seacoaster »

I'm told 48 hrs is what they are looking for.
ME2VTSkier
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by ME2VTSkier »

Looks more likely that the temps they want will arrive on the 7-8th
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by Seacoaster »

I happen to look at the calendar yesterday, its a good thing Thanksgiving falls late in November this year.
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by rogman »

ME2VTSkier wrote:Looks more likely that the temps they want will arrive on the 7-8th
Damn shame that Killington won't be the first to open in the North East, then. Competition heats up quickly after Nov 1st. Regardless of whatever "rules" you believe Killington has, they evolve with time. While they may want 3 or 4 cold days in mid-October, as the days tick by, the required window gets shorter and shorter.

"You can't always get what you want
But if you try sometime, you might find
You get what you need"
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hillbangin
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by hillbangin »

rogman wrote:
ME2VTSkier wrote:Looks more likely that the temps they want will arrive on the 7-8th
Damn shame that Killington won't be the first to open in the North East, then. Competition heats up quickly after Nov 1st. Regardless of whatever "rules" you believe Killington has, they evolve with time. While they may want 3 or 4 cold days in mid-October, as the days tick by, the required window gets shorter and shorter.

"You can't always get what you want
But if you try sometime, you might find
You get what you need"
I'm guessing if it's not cold enough to make snow at Killington then nobody is going to beat them unless they opened a resort on the top of Mt Washington.

Everyone needs to take a pill and enjoy the foliage. Take one more hike or boat ride or a round of golf.

Watch the world series?

Winter is coming. It always does.

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madhatter
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by madhatter »

rumor has it the uncooperative weather thus far is the result of a youtube video...or lack thereof... :D
mach es sehr schnell

'exponential reciprocation'- The practice of always giving back more than you take....
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Mister Moose
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by Mister Moose »

hillbangin wrote:I'm guessing if it's not cold enough to make snow at Killington then nobody is going to beat them unless they opened a resort on the top of Mt Washington.
The later it gets, the further south and lower down the cold snaps venture. This gives the greater chance of someone with a shorter, flatter trail blowing a quick pre-dawn patch and getting open first. Observers of the opening games older than 25 know this as "The Woodbury Effect"
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RENO
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by RENO »

I heard from a great source today that Killington will open this coming season! :Toast
da Pimp
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by da Pimp »

Yes, that Woodbury event broke Killington's long streak of first opening in the east. Killington printed out little stickers claiming that, then at the last minute Woodbury, CT put out that little patch and claimed "open". So Killington had to cancel handing out those stickers. I did manage to get some anyways.
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by hillbangin »

da Pimp wrote:Yes, that Woodbury event broke Killington's long streak of first opening in the east. Killington printed out little stickers claiming that, then at the last minute Woodbury, CT put out that little patch and claimed "open". So Killington had to cancel handing out those stickers. I did manage to get some anyways.
The only contest that really counts if first to open a non snowmaking trail.

The official start of non silly season.

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Geoff
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Re: Weekend Outlook

Post by Geoff »

rogman wrote: I stand by what I said. That forecast is literally hot garbage.

I expect heavy r*ins midweek, followed by high winds and plunging temps on Friday. Sometime late Friday the guns will go on both Superstar and Rime. Production won't be great initially, but if nothing else will help to cool off the ground. They want to blow wet base building snow anyway. It wouldn't take long to get open (12 to 18 hours) if they had great conditions, but they won't, it'll likely be marginal with both temperature and humidity. Still a good shot at a Sunday opening, trending more towards Monday. I readily concede the forecast is iffy; slight temperature change one way or another makes a difference between too warm to blow and great production. Just keep hoping for the best! We all know they'll pull the trigger if they can.
I see 88% relative humidity and a few nights with 4 or 5 hours of below freezing at the bottom of Rime over the weekend. It's too humid to make snow much above 32F.
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