T R U M P vs. Hillary - who wins?

[madhatter]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -5963.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[madhatter]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-3 ... announceme" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

ABC / Wapo Clinton "Lead" Shrinks To 1-Point As New York Times Sees 4-Point Trump Advantage In Florida


these polls do not reflect friday's FBI announcement...

[deadheadskier]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-3 ... announceme

ABC / Wapo Clinton "Lead" Shrinks To 1-Point As New York Times Sees 4-Point Trump Advantage In Florida


these polls do not reflect friday's FBI announcement...

You Trumptards crack me up.

The polls don't matter!

The sampling of voters are lies!

The election is rigged!

Yay! Trump is in the lead! Look at those poll results!

[madhatter]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-3 ... announceme

ABC / Wapo Clinton "Lead" Shrinks To 1-Point As New York Times Sees 4-Point Trump Advantage In Florida


these polls do not reflect friday's FBI announcement...

You Trumptards crack me up.

The polls don't matter!

The sampling of voters are lies!

The election is rigged!

Yay! Trump is in the lead! Look at those poll results!

you truly are a simple minded one trick pony...when the poll is rigged against you and it goes from -12 to -1 that's relevant.. when the NYT says trump plus 4 in fla that's relevant...when uncle sams' children says trump plus 8 not so much...do you ever argue on its merits or do you simply look for the bumper sticker strawman attack and run with it?

if you honestly think that an NYT or ABC/WaPo poll taken before the FBI announcement don't reflect a big shift you simply don't have any analytical ability at all...likewise if you really thought clinton was up by 12...momentum and the news cycle are totally in trumps favor now...gonna be hard to dig up another false accuser outta the woodwork now...

650k emails in the weiner pedophile investigation appear to be linked to clinton....

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-3 ... ers-laptop" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;


650,000 Emails Found On Anthony Weiner's Laptop; DOJ Blocked Foundation Probe
Those emails stretched back years, these people said, and were on a laptop that both Mr. Weiner and Ms. Abedin used and that hadn’t previously come up in the Clinton email probe. Ms. Abedin said in late August that the couple were separating.

The FBI had searched the computer while looking for child pornography, people familiar with the matter said, but the warrant they used didn’t give them authority to search for matters related to Mrs. Clinton’s email arrangement at the State Department. Mr. Weiner has denied sending explicit or indecent messages to the teenager.
As reported yesterday, it appears that there are potentially tens of thousands of Abedin linked emails on Weiner's computer:

In their initial review of the laptop, the metadata showed many messages, apparently in the thousands, that were either sent to or from the private email server at Mrs. Clinton’s home that had been the focus of so much investigative effort for the FBI. Senior FBI officials decided to let the Weiner investigators proceed with a closer examination of the metadata on the computer, and report back to them.

good luck w that one....

[deadheadskier]

I really don't care about the polls and have made few to zero comments about how they are taken and interpreted.

You on the other hand? A dozen posts or more a day whining about everything being unfair and rigged. You feign intellectuality and cry like a baby when folks don't agree with your positions whether it's me, brown man, xjibber, Bubba etc. No one has an interest in meaningful political conversation with you because you act like a petulant child when people don't take your side, just like your beloved Dumbass Donny.

But as soon as some news source posts something positive about Donny? You are whipping it out and jerking off for all to see, just like you are doing here today. Bet your Sarah Palin pinup has gotten a workout this weekend!

I honestly don't care who wins between Clinton or Donny. Neither will accomplish anything in the next four years because they're both so terrible. I only slightly lean towards Clinton because I think it will be hilarious to see you and other Trumptards melt down because your down so deep on him, folks can't tell the difference between your nose hairs and his pubes. Yet you all refer to yourselves as Patriots trying to make America great again. LOL.

[madhatter]

I really don't care about the polls and have made few to zero comments about how they are taken and interpreted.

You on the other hand? A dozen posts or more a day whining about everything being unfair and rigged. those are called FACTS You feign intellectuality and cry like a baby when folks don't agree with your positions whether it's me, brown man, xjibber, Bubba etc. agree? you try as hard as you can to obfuscate , "ignore" or counter with something unrelated... guess when you don;t have a valid argument playing coy is all ya got...No one has an interest in meaningful political conversation with you because you act like a petulant child when people don't take your side, just like your beloved Dumbass Donny.more projection, your strongest ( and only) hand... as ALWAYS you have almost zero ability to argue on the facts...I don;t care who takes my side or not but when your argument is " he's orange, dumbass donny, sarah palin dolls etc its clear you have absolutely no valid position at all...yep I'll challenge that EVERY time cuz it's a slam dunk easy win...none of you have the ABILITY to have a meaningful political conversation... none of you are capable of answering ANY pertinent questions or query's...all you are interested in is taking cheap shots based on nothing but emotion and hoping they stick...

But as soon as some news source posts something positive about Donny? You are whipping it out and jerking off for all to see, just like you are doing here today. Bet your Sarah Palin pinup has gotten a workout this weekend!more of your brilliant analysis....

I honestly don't care who wins between Clinton or Donny. Neither will accomplish anything in the next four years because they're both so terrible. I only slightly lean towards Clinton because I think it will be hilarious to see you and other Trumptards melt down because your down so deep on him, folks can't tell the difference between your nose hairs and his pubes.brilliant analysis... totally invalid of course and just more projection of your undying devotion to anything D Yet you all refer to yourselves as Patriots trying to make America great again. LOL.

wow that was some real adult insight there, ya drunk? I can;t stand clinton or the rest of the deeply embedded crooked as f@ck D's...has zero to do with trump and everything to do with never hillary...but you can only see things from your dimwitted partisan stupidity and thus you assume everyone else is as dim as you are and project...you still haven't made a single VALID argument against trump ( none of you have, and neither have the D's which is why he will win)...you'er simply angry that what you thought was going to be a pre-orchestrated walk in the park for hilldog is about to be come a perp walk for her...your desperation is reaching epic heights... as a conservative I EXPECT the republican candidate to lose to the plethora of ( barely) useful idiots like yourself...meanwhile you'll be BLINDSIDED by anything but a D route...

again when the ends justify the means mentality becomes standard practice for both sides what happens?

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-3 ... fbi-agents" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Is This Why Comey Broke: A Stack Of Resignation Letters From Furious FBI Agents

oooh look another crooked POS comes out to cry foul...

Former AG Eric Holder Slams FBI Director Comey For "Breach Of Protocol"

[madhatter]

http://nypost.com/2016/10/30/man-who-al ... in-prison/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

meanwhile here's someone representative of who you are...and what you stand for...

[madhatter]

[freeski]

Huma doesn't know how 750,000 emails got on laptop. Has she picked up some bad habits from Cankle (lying) Guessing ALL emails will be on there including the ones Cankle's lawyers scrubbed off her server. What a mess. Huma knows she's been caught not handing over all evidence. Hope this will finally bring Cankle Cow down. Will this put Trump over the top Maybe not, butt this will help the down ballet races.

[madhatter]

the TREND is Trump's FRIEND


Hillary's Unfavorable Rating Hits New High; Lead Over Trump Just 1%

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-3 ... past-trump" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Another day and another manufactured ABC / Wapo poll to review. In today's goal-seeking report, which supposedly includes 2 days of post-FBI responses, Hillary maintained a 1-point advantage over Trump despite ABC/Wapo's admission that her favorability ratings are tanking, support among democrats is declining and voter intesity overall continues to collapse (which is supposedly what drove her massive drop from a 12-point lead in the first place). In part, Hillary's lead was maintained through another 1 point increase in the democrat - republican sampling spread which increased to 10 points (vs. 9 yesterday and 8 the day before) but we suspect other over "oversamples" of certain groups was also required to engineer this latest farce.

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 26-29, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,165 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 37-27-30 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.



Ironically, Hillary was able to maintain a slight 1 point advantage over Trump despite a surge in her unfavorability ratings, which are now higher than Trump's for the first time in this election cycle.

Clinton is seen unfavorably by 60 percent of likely voters in the latest results, a new high. Trump’s seen unfavorably by essentially as many, 58 percent. Marking the depth of these views, 49 percent see Clinton “strongly” unfavorably, and 48 percent say the same about Trump –unusual levels of strong sentiment.

Beneath these results is a possible slip in enthusiasm for Clinton: Using just the last two nights’ results – after FBI Director James Comey revealed a further Clinton-related email investigation – 47 percent of her supporters say they’re very enthusiastic about her, compared with 51 percent across the previous six nights.

expect to see a LOT more of this as the corrupt D's scramble to save their own @sses...Hillaryous!!!!

[madhatter]

FLORIDA flips back to Trump...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -5963.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

gonna be seeing a lot more red in the coming days...

expect to see AZ fully in the red column as well...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -6087.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

he'll need to flip NC and either PA or both CO and NV to pull off a win...

[madhatter]

[madhatter]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-0 ... ek-earlier" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Trump Takes Lead In ABC/WaPo Poll That Gave Hillary 13 Point Advantage Just One Week Earlier

The first fully post-FBI shocker ABC/WaPo poll is out and it is a shocker: in a poll that saw Hillary lead by a dominating 13 points as recently as one week ago, moments ago ABC/WaPo/Langer Research announced that Trump has not only taken the lead from Hillary, but this is the first time he has done so since May.

As a reminder, this is the same poll that as we reported over the weekend, effectively confirmed to "poll tampering" which saw Hillary's lead collapse from 12 points to just 2 several days ago.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, Hillary is now a slim point behind Donald Trump, a first since May, in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton. Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them. Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent. The reason: according to ABC, "strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation."


What is most stunning is that the Democrat oversampling in the poll has now grown to a whopping 10 points!

According to the poll, self-identified Democrats outnumber Republicans among likely voters by 10 points, 38 to 28 percent. There are three reasons why the race is so close despite the major overrepresentation of democrats:

One, this narrows to a 5-point gap, 48-43 percent, including independents who lean toward one party or the other.
The second is Trump’s advantage among pure independents, as noted –- even though they account for just 7 percent of all likely voters.
And the third is the fact that Trump wins 9 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners, while Clinton is supported by 6 percent of Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP –- another slight difference, and not statistically significant.
But in contests this close, small differences add up. Vote preference results are essentially identical in 23 likely voter models produced for diagnostic purposes, with turnout estimates ranging from 43 to 81 percent of the voting-age population. Seventeen of the individual models produce a 45-46 percent Clinton-Trump race, as does the average of all 23.

As a result, Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But, compared to past elections it’s low for both of them –- 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton.

Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost 7 points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday. This is possibly an after-effect of the renewed controversy over her use of a private email server while secretary of state. Trump’s strong enthusiasm has held steady in tracking, which started Oct. 20.

Some more observations from ABC:

Clinton’s support rests in part on early voting: A fifth of those identified as likely voters (21 percent) say they’ve in fact already voted. While the sample isn’t large (thus an error margin of +/-7 percentage points), they divide by 55-39 percent, Clinton-Trump. That said, early voting estimates can change given state-level rules, turnout and sampling variability. Early voting estimates in the 2012 ABC/Post tracking poll ranged from +17 for Obama to +4 for Romney in four-night averages, settling at +3 for Obama.

The latest results, while steady for seven nights, reflect a sharp turnaround from a large Clinton lead in the first four nights of tracking, which were a particularly difficult news cycle for Trump.

Among other factors, there’s been consolidation for Trump among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents (86 percent now back him, up from 80 percent). He has also seen improvement among pure independents (i.e., those who don’t lean toward either party), up from an even split to a large Trump advantage, 25 percent Clinton to 54 percent Trump, across the past seven nights (combined for a larger samples size). Seventeen percent of pure independents pick someone else.

Among Democrats and Democratic leaners, meanwhile, Trump’s support has gone from 5 to 9 percent -- a slight change, but a statistically significant one. Clinton’s support has been essentially steady.

* * *

Expect Trump to seize on this latest poll in all public announcements today as indication of a dramatic turnaround, while the Clinton Campaign will do everything it can to urge Democrats "to go out and vote", and salvage an election that had been virtually assured for Hillary as recently as the last week of October.

[madhatter]

[madhatter]

But Clinton is performing worse than Obama in 10 of the 12 states that were generally considered swing states in 2012. In some cases, such as Florida and Pennsylvania, the difference is negligible. She’s underperforming Obama substantially, however, in Iowa, Michigan, Ohio and Nevada and to a somewhat lesser extent in Wisconsin and Minnesota. She’s considerably outperforming Obama in Virginia and North Carolina, conversely, but that’s not enough to make up for her losses elsewhere.